Hits' predictions based on first day sales aren't very promising for this week's new releases. Bob Dylan's Modern Times is on pace to sell around 150,000 and is "a certain #1 successor to this week's champ, Danity Kane."

Young Dro's Best Thang Smokin' is looking at the 100,000 mark, Jessica Simpson's A Public Affair is headed for 90,000 (her last one did 64,000 in its first week) and Method Man's 4:21 The Day After is on track for about 50,000.

Not impressive for this time of year. Compared to the same week last year, this week's releases will fall short of the first weeks of Kanye West's Late Registration (860,000), Tony Yayo's Thoughts of a Predicate Felon (213,000) and Brooks & Dunn's Hillbilly Deluxe (111,000).

Labels and retailers must be anxiously waiting for the September 12th releases. The year's smash-in-waiting and one of the few albums people seem excited about, Justin Timberlake's FutureSex/LoveSounds will be out that day, as will John Mayer's Continuum. On September 5th, Beyonce's B'day and Audioslave's Revelations will